Peterson Institute for International Economics

An aerial view of a container terminal at the Port of Tianjin in Tianjin, China.

Photo Credit: Oriental Image via Reuters Connect/Li Xiaofei

China no longer buys US exports: Drawing the right lessons for the next Trump-Xi deal

Chad P. Bown (PIIE)

US exports to China have fallen sharply in recent years, largely due to President Donald Trump’s trade wars combined with China’s economic problems and policies. But he could score important gains by working with other countries that face many of the same trade challenges.

Aerial photo shows the container terminal at Yantian Port in Shenzhen City, south China's Guangdong Province. Photo taken on May 16, 2024.

REUTERS Marketplace/stringer

Photo Credit: REUTERS Marketplace/stringer

RealTime Economics

Fasten your seat belts for the next China shock

Tamim Bayoumi (King’s College) and Joseph E. Gagnon (PIIE)

March 12, 2026

Computer chip and AI label is shown in this photo illustration.

IMAGO/Christian Ohde via Reuters Connect

Photo Credit: IMAGO/Christian Ohde via Reuters Connect

RealTime Economics

Research on AI and the labor market is still in the first inning

Jed Kolko (PIIE)

March 10, 2026

Metro trains move past commuters near the Sabarmati Metro station in Ahmedabad, India. Picture taken on January 31, 2026.

REUTERS/Amit Dave

Photo Credit: REUTERS/Amit Dave

Working Papers

India's 20 years of GDP misestimation: New evidence

Abhishek Anand (Madras Institute of Development Studies), Josh Felman (JH Consulting) and Arvind Subramanian (PIIE)

March 10, 2026

Shipping containers stand stacked at a port in Newark, New Jersey.

REUTERS/Mike Sega

Photo Credit: REUTERS/Mike Sega

RealTime Economics

What the Supreme Court's tariff ruling changes, and what it doesn't

Kimberly Clausing (PIIE) and Maurice Obstfeld (PIIE)

February 23, 2026

What's New

Fasten your seat belts for the next China shock

Tamim Bayoumi (King’s College) and Joseph E. Gagnon (PIIE)

March 12, 2026

AdamSmith1790b: Portrait of Smith by John Kay, 1790

This Is the Moment Adam Smith Has Been Waiting For

Jason Furman (PIIE)

March 10, 2026

via New York Times

India's 20 years of GDP misestimation: New evidence

Abhishek Anand (Madras Institute of Development Studies), Josh Felman (JH Consulting) and Arvind Subramanian (PIIE)

March 2026

Research on AI and the labor market is still in the first inning

Jed Kolko (PIIE)

March 10, 2026

PIIE Charts

Trump's tariff revenue tracker: How much is the US collecting? Which imports are hit?

Gary Clyde Hufbauer (PIIE) and Ye Zhang (PIIE)

February 24, 2026

The Trump administration wants foreign investment pledges to boost several sectors that Biden targeted

Gregory Auclair (PIIE) and Adnan Mazarei (PIIE)

February 11, 2026

Some countries will struggle to fulfill their investment pledges to President Trump

Gregory Auclair (PIIE) and Adnan Mazarei (PIIE)

January 29, 2026

China’s private-sector rebound continued in 2025, fueled by “new economy”

Tianlei Huang (PIIE) and Nicolas Véron (PIIE)

January 20, 2026

PIIE Insider LIVE

Can global cooperation survive a fragmenting world?

March 24, 2026, 11:00 AM to 11:30 AM EDT

Anjali V. Bhatt (PIIE) and Kimberly Clausing (PIIE)

Mar

How critical are critical minerals in the Brazil-US economic relationship?

March 25, 2026, 11:00 AM to 12:00 PM EDT

Monica de Bolle (PIIE), Cullen S. Hendrix (PIIE), Pedro Guerra (Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services, Brazil) and Bruna Santos (Inter-American Dialogue)

Mar