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Trade has not come up very much in the Democratic presidential campaign, but the number of Americans who say global trade should be a top policy priority grew by 5 percentage points from 2011 to 2019, according to the Pew Research Center. President Donald Trump’s trade policies, including the imposition of tariffs to get trading partners to make concessions, are supported by about half the voters, making it tricky for Democratic candidates advocating a tough approach on this issue to differentiate themselves from Trump or each other.
The table below summarizes the positions of eight Democratic candidates on three key trade issues based on the public record: free trade in general; the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) signed in 2019, replacing the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA); and China (Section 301 tariffs imposed to combat alleged unfair practices by that country). The table is based on their comments in news articles, interviews, and social media. The order of candidates in the table is based on recent polling results.
Senators Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), along with Representative Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI), are generally critical of recent trade agreements. However, Warren and Gabbard joined Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) to vote for the USMCA, citing its strengthened environmental and labor protection regulations. Former vice president Joe Biden has said he supports the deal, as does Pete Buttigieg, who answered in the affirmative when directly asked if he would have voted for the USMCA if he were in Congress. Sanders voted against the USMCA, and Tom Steyer said he would have voted against it.
Regarding China, most Democratic contenders have condemned Trump’s trade war with China and suggest alternative means, such as working with international allies, to pressure China on its trade practices. Biden has said the tariffs on products harming American farmers would “come off on day one.” Buttigieg said he would keep subsidies for farmers affected by tariffs, which may imply that the tariffs themselves would stay in place. Gabbard and Steyer are the only candidates to say they would remove President Trump’s tariffs on US imports from China.
As the election date draws closer, the positions of Democratic candidates on trade policy may become clearer. But past history indicates that candidates can adjust their positions once in office, often claiming credit for improving the trade deals that they denounced while running for office.
Positions of eight 2020 Democratic presidential candidates on three key trade issues | |||
Candidate | Attitudes toward trade agreements and globalization | US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) | China (Section 301 tariffs and trade war retaliation) |
Bernie Sanders (Senator from Vermont) |
January 14, 2020: “The heart and soul of our disastrous trade agreements…is that we have forced American workers to compete against people in Mexico, in China, elsewhere, who earn starvation wages, $1 or $2 an hour.” (source) “We need a trade policy that benefits American workers and creates living-wage jobs, not unfair trade agreements written by multi-national corporations.” (source)
View Sanders’ full trade agenda. Voted against Trade Promotion Authority for the Trans-Pacific Partnership (source), the US-China Relations Act of 2000 (source), and granting China “most-favored nation” status. (source) |
Does not support & voted against (source)
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“Dealing” with China is an issue, but disagrees with Trump’s implementation against China. (source) The Trump administration is correct to put pressure on China to reform its practices but the “problem is that the Trump administration is mainly interested in addressing some of the imbalances between America and China overall, when it also needs to address basic drivers of economic inequality.” (source) In response to a question about how to deal with Chinese intellectual property theft, industrial subsidies, and other issues: “We can place far more pressure on China to change its policies if we work together with the broader international community and the other developed economies.” (source) |
Michael Bloomberg (former Mayor of New York City, New York, founder and owner of Bloomberg LP) |
May 31, 2019, op-ed in Bloomberg News: “Stop Trump on Trade” (link), says trade is a matter of mutual advantage
January 23, 2020, on the CPTPP: “The Obama administration was right to pursue the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and President Trump was wrong to walk away from the deal…. As president, I will commit to bring the U.S. into a new and improved TPP that, among other things, would do more to protect American intellectual property, enforce tougher labor and environmental standards in the other member countries, and provide clear benefits for American workers. The ultimate goal of any trade deal is to improve the U.S. economy and the incomes of Americans.” |
Supports
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April 19, 2018: Trump administration trade policies “hamper economic growth and strain ties with nations around the world, including China…. Cooperation between the US and China is critical to meeting all of the challenges facing our world, from economic growth and trade to security and climate change.” (source) January 8, 2020: “…you should read the story about who's actually paying the tariffs. It's virtually 100 percent the American consumer, not the Chinese…For us to walk away from China and have a battle with them when we need them to do something that's going to be in not just our interest, but our salvation, that doesn't make a lot of sense to me.” (source) January 23, 2020: “…the best way for the U.S. to handle the rise of China is to strengthen our alliances in Asia and make the domestic investments necessary to ensure our businesses and workers have the tools they need to out-innovate and out-compete the Chinese.” January 23, 2020: “President Trump’s tariff war with China has instead cost American farmers and workers billions, without altering unfair Chinese trade practices.” (source) |
Joe Biden (former Vice President to President Obama) |
Calls for enforceable free trade + US-led effort to “write the rules of the road for international trade,” including worker and environmental protection, challenging corporate concentration, corruption, and climate change. (source)
July 31, 2019, asked if he would rejoin the Trans-Pacific Partnership (a deal he helped design under the Obama administration but ultimately failed to pass Congress): “I'd renegotiate…I would not rejoin the TPP as it was initially put forward.” (source) View Biden’s economic plans. |
Supports |
“China problem” = intellectual property theft, violating WTO rules, steel dumping, industrial subsidies and state-owned enterprises, not trade deficits and agricultural products
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Pete Buttigieg (former Mayor of South Bend, Indiana) |
July 2019: “We cannot just put up walls around our economy. We need to be setting the rules of the road for the future…” (source) and “Globalization is not going to go away.” (source)
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Supports January 14, 2020: In response to a question if he supports the USMCA: “Yes, it has been improved, it is not perfect.” (source) |
November 21, 2019: Trade war “shouldn’t have been started in the first place.” (source) August 18, 2019: “It's also a fool's errand to think you're going to be able to get China to change the fundamentals of their economic model by poking them in the eye with some tariffs.” (source)
Reduce US vulnerability to economic interdependence with China by making sensitive items in the US. (source) |
Elizabeth Warren (Senator from Massachusetts) |
Warren was one of the first candidates to release detailed trade plans. PIIE analysis can be found here and here. January 14, 2020: “We need a coherent trade policy. We need a policy that actually helps our workers, our farmers. We need them at the table, not just trade policy written for big, international companies.” (source) Highlights the need to “completely transform our approach to trade” (source) Policy suggestions include:
Warren’s trade agenda can be found here and a larger economic plan here. Strongly opposed the Trans-Pacific Partnership. (source) |
Supports & voted for (source)
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Calls Trump’s approach to China “incoherent tariff-by-tweet strategy” (source) |
Amy Klobuchar (Senator from Minnesota) |
“Exporting is literally a world of opportunity.” (source) “With 95 percent of the world’s customers living outside our borders, opening up new markets and lowering trade barriers is critical to our agricultural and rural economy.” (source) Policy suggestions include:
Klobuchar’s economic plans can be found here, here, and here |
Supports & voted for (source)
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January 14, 2020: “We need a big trading block with North America to take on China. And the way you are stronger against China is with our allies.” (source) December 11, 2019: “Despite some very tough rhetoric, the Trump administration’s attempt to rebalance our relationship with China is focused on the wrong things. His trade war has already cost our country three hundred thousand jobs, but it has done nothing to forestall the long-term competition we face.” (source) June 27, 2019: China is the greatest economic threat to the US. (source) Policy suggestions include:
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Tom Steyer (Hedge fund manager, philanthropist) |
“An American economy that is firing on all cylinders out-competes and out-innovates others on the world stage. It adheres to the rule of law, respects its workers, seeks fair and open trade agreements, and is prepared to meet economic and environmental challenges at home and abroad.” (source) Policy suggestions include:
View Steyer’s economic agenda. |
Does not support
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January 14, 2020, in response to how he would help farmers get back on their feet: “On the first day, I would undo Mr. Trump’s tariffs.” (source) September 2019, in response to a question about US-China technological decoupling: “Like it or not, we are going to have to engage with China both economically and politically. It’s impossible for us to completely divorce these relationships…I believe we should stand up strongly to protect the interests of American intellectual property and punish those that don’t obey the laws.” (source) |
Tulsi Gabbard (Congresswoman from Hawaii) |
“Free trade doesn’t cut it. We deserve transparent trade, green trade, and trade that empowers our middle class and domestic economy. The American people deserve fair trade.” (source) Strongly opposed the Trans-Pacific Partnership, attributing her disagreement to the deal giving away sovereignty of the American people and our country, giving away American jobs, and threatening the environment. (source) Gabbard’s economic plans can be found here and here. |
Did not support NAFTA but voted for USMCA
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February 5, 2019: “Trump’s trade-war against China has damaged, not helped, our economy, has undermined our efforts to denuclearize North Korea, and has strengthened the hand of Chinese anti-American militarists.” (source)
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This blog updates a previous post a year ago.