The Peterson Institute for International Economics presents the spring 2026 PIIE Global Economic Prospects, the Institute’s semiannual outlook for the US and global economies.
Karen Dynan presents the global outlook for the major economies, assessing how the evolving conflict in the Middle East and heightened energy price volatility are complicating growth, inflation, and policy decisions globally, with a deeper dive into the implications for the US economy.
Jed Kolko examines how recent developments in immigration, artificial intelligence (AI), and other trends are showing up in US labor market data, and where measurement challenges are creating uncertainty about labor supply, slack, and hiring dynamics.
Tianlei Huang discusses China's growth outlook in the wake of the country's property sector downturn, with a focus on the macroeconomic and fiscal implications and potential spillovers to the global economy.
A discussion with the audience moderated by PIIE C. Fred Bergsten Senior Fellow Maurice Obstfeld follows.
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About This Series
The Peterson Institute for International Economics holds its semiannual Global Economic Prospects each spring and fall to report its US and international economic outlook.