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Can Foreign Exchange Intervention Stem Exchange Rate Pressures from Global Capital Flow Shocks?

Working Papers 15-18

Body

Many emerging-market economies have relied on foreign exchange intervention (FXI) in response to gross capital inflows. The authors study whether FXI has been an effective tool to dampen the effects of these inflows on the exchange rate. To deal with endogeneity issues, they look at the response of different countries to plausibly exogenous gross inflows and explore the cross-country variation of FXI and exchange rate responses. Consistent with the portfolio balance channel, they find that larger FXI leads to less exchange rate appreciation in response to gross inflows.

Data disclosure: The data underlying the figures in this analysis are available here [xlsx].

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