Labor markets and structural transformation in times of change: AI and demographic shifts

Date
November 17, 9:30 AM EST to November 18, 2026, 4:30 PM EST
PIIE Webcast, Washington, DC

Conference organized by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), Peterson Institute for International Economics (PIIE), and the World Bank

About

Event Summary

The Peterson Institute for International Economics has organized, jointly with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), and the World Bank, a two-day conference to bring together leading economists, policymakers, international institutions, and practitioners to examine how artificial intelligence (AI), demographic change, and shifting patterns of international specialization are reshaping labor markets and the future of work.

In research presentations and high-level discussions, speakers explore how AI is transforming jobs, productivity, and global patterns of specialization; how aging and growing youth populations are reshaping labor supply and skills; and what governments, businesses, and workers can do to navigate these profound changes. Sessions highlight policies that can foster good job creation, support workforce transitions and skills development, and promote private-sector dynamism. The conference features a keynote address by Gordon Hanson, the Peter Wertheim Professor in Urban Policy at Harvard Kennedy School, alongside a distinguished lineup of senior policymakers, academics, and experts from around the world.

Featured Speakers

  • Ahmad Al-Yamani, CEO, Takamol Holding
  • Jason Furman, Nonresident Senior Fellow, PIIE; Aetna Professor of the Practice of Economic Policy, Harvard University
  • Niki Kerameus, Greek Minister of Labor and Social Security
  • Aart Kraay, Chief Economist of the Prosperity Vertical, World Bank
  • Bo Li, Deputy Managing Director, International Monetary Fund
  • Adam S. Posen, President, Peterson Institute for International Economics
  • Stefano Scarpetta, Chief Economist, G7/G20 Finance Deputy, and Head of the Economics Department, OECD

Schedule

Tuesday, November 17, 2026

9:30 AM EST

Welcome remarks

Adam S. Posen, PIIE

9:45 AM EST

Keynote remarks

Speaker
Gordon Hanson, Harvard University

Moderator
Jed Kolko, PIIE

11:00 AM EST

Session 1: Structural transformation, demographics, and labor market frictions

Chair
Sandeep Mahajan, World Bank Group

Presenters

  • Marta Domínguez-Jiménez, CEMFI
    The demographic origins of premature deindustrialization
  • Martí Mestieri, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
    Jobless modernity
  • Niklas Engbom, New York University
    Missallocative growth

Discussant
Meghana Ayyagari, George Washington University

1:50 PM EST

Session 2: AI and labor markets

Chair
Laura Alfaro, Inter-American Development Bank

Presenters

  • Marina Mendes Tavares, IMF
    Bridging skill gaps for the future: New jobs creation in the AI age
  • Faezeh Khosravi, Georgia State University
    Generative AI and firm hiring demand: Evidence from developed and developing economies
  • Daniele Angelini, University of Vienna
    Aging population and technology adoption

Discussant
Prasanna Tambe, University of Pennsylvania

4:00 PM EST

Policy panel

Moderator
Manuela Francisco, World Bank Group

Panelists

  • Jason Furman, PIIE; Harvard University
  • Niki Kerameus, Government of Greece
  • Ahmad Al-Yamani, Takamol Holding
  • Signe Krogstrup, Danmarks Nationalbank

Wednesday, November 18, 2026

8:30 AM EST

Session 3: Technology, new jobs, and skills

Chair
Antonio Spilimbergo, IMF

Presenters

  • Tucker Smith, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
    Degrees for GPTs: The effects of generative AI on skill demand and supply
  • Tarek Hassan, Boston University
    New technologies and the college premium
  • Julian Jacobs, Google DeepMind; University of Oxford
    Do US retraining programs protect against technological automation?

Discussant
Tito Boeri, Bocconi University

10:25 AM EST

Session 4: AI and its implications for emerging-market and developing economies

Chair
Asa Johansson, OECD

Presenters

  • Hernan Winkler, Inter-American Development Bank
    Disruption without dividend? How the digital divide and task differences split generative AI's global impact
  • Gabriel Marin, University of Pennsylvania
    The informal buffer: How labor market duality mediates automation and AI exposure in Mexico
  • Filippo Bontadini, Luiss Guido Carli University
    Exposure to digital automation and jobs in global value chains

Discussant
David Kaplan, Inter-American Development Bank

1:00 PM EST

Chief economists panel

Moderator
Adam S. Posen, PIIE

Panelists

  • Aart Kraay, World Bank Group
  • Bo Li, IMF
  • Stefano Scarpetta, OECD
2:25 PM EST

Session 5: AI diffusion

Chair
Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, PIIE

Presenters

  • Filiz Unsal, OECD
  • John Graham, Duke University
    Artificial intelligence, productivity, and the workforce: Evidence from corporate executives
  • Hannah Wei, IMF
    Emerging trends in global technology diffusion: Does artificial intelligence differ from other new technologies?
  • Danial Lashkari, London School of Economics and Political Science
    AI and scale: A quantitative task-based theory of automation

Discussant
Rodimiro Rodrigo, George Washington University

4:25 PM EST

Closing remarks

Video