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While in Seoul, I provided an outline of our research in Witness to Transformation for the East Asia Institute, one of the leading think-tanks in Seoul. The ten-minute interview covers our findings with respect to the refugees in China and marketization but also talks about the current state of play in both China-DPRK and North-South relations. On China-DPRK, we see continued willingness to support the DPRK politically but a declining willingness to provide economic assistance. With respect to North-South relations, elections in both Korea and the US are looming. As with past administrations, it is increasingly likely that the political cycles are not aligned. With important anniversaries looming in Pyongyang (the birthdays of both Kim Sr. and Jr.)--plus the succession--the likelihood is growing that the regime will wait out developments in Seoul and Washington.
Check out the interview below.
Interview: http://www.eai.or.kr/type/panelView.asp?bytag=p&catcode=&code=eng_multimedia&idx=10238&page=1