Publications

PIIE's 50+ scholars research a wide range of topics and regions. Our publications reflect the Institute’s commitment to timely, prescient, and topical research in a variety of formats. PIIE books, Policy Briefs, PIIE Briefings, Working Papers, and other scholarly writings all meet our high standards of intellectual rigor and transparency. All PIIE publications communicate the analysis, views, and scholarship of their authors and are not intended to reflect an official view of the Institute or the views of members of the Institute's Board of Directors.

Policy Briefs

February 2020
With interest rates persistently low or even negative in advanced countries, policymakers have barely any room to ease monetary policy when the next recession hits. Fiscal policy will have to play a major and likely dominant role in stimulating the economy, requiring policymakers to fundamentally...

Olivier Blanchard (PIIE) and Lawrence H. Summers (Harvard University)

Working Papers

January 2020
This paper shows that the scope for bond yields to fall below zero is strictly limited by market expectations about how far below zero central banks are willing to set their short-term policy rates. If a central bank communicates a credible commitment to keeping its policy rate above a given level...

Joseph E. Gagnon (PIIE) and Olivier Jeanne (PIIE)

PIIE Briefings

January 2019
Outright trade war between the world's two largest economies would be devastating to the working people of both countries, as well as destructive to the future of the entire world economy. The costs of conflict between China and the United States far outweigh the current causes of dispute in their...

Ha Jiming (China Finance 40 Forum) and Adam S. Posen (PIIE), editors