Peterson Institute for International Economics

PIIE projects continued economic expansion as inflation falls, but US election uncertainty looms

Karen Dynan (PIIE)

The world’s economy remains on track for steady growth in 2025 but the outlook could shift depending on the results of the 2024 US elections. The two leading US presidential candidates—Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump—would likely pursue very different policies, affecting the US and global economy.

European Union flags flutter outside the European Commission headquarters in Brussels, Belgium.

REUTERS/Yves Herman

Photo Credit: REUTERS/Yves Herman

RealTime Economics

Essential issues raised, but not fully answered by the Draghi report

Olivier Blanchard (PIIE) and Ángel Ubide (Citadel)

October 8, 2024

Shipping containers are stacked at a container terminal in Boston, Massachusetts, US.

REUTERS/Brian Snyder

Photo Credit: REUTERS/Brian Snyder

RealTime Economics

What populists don't understand about tariffs (but economists do)

Kimberly Clausing (PIIE) and Maurice Obstfeld (PIIE)

October 1, 2024

A man walks past the headquarters of the People's Bank of China, the central bank of China, in Beijing, China. Picture taken on September 20, 2024.

China News Service/Jing Qiming

Photo Credit: China News Service/Jing Qiming

RealTime Economics

China's stimulus measures to boost troubled economy may fall short

Tianlei Huang (PIIE)

October 1, 2024

A general view of the border wall from the side of the United States.

SOPA Images/Michael Ho Wai Lee

Photo Credit: SOPA Images/Michael Ho Wai Lee

RealTime Economics

Trump vs. Harris on immigration: Future policy proposals

Megan Hogan (Former PIIE)

September 9, 2024

Trade Winds

India and trade: Where is the country headed?

October 16, 2024, 9:00 AM to 10:00 AM EDT

Cecilia Malmström (PIIE), Arpita Mukherjee (Indian Council of Research on International Economic Relations) and Badri Narayanan Gopalakrishnan (Infinite Sum Modelling; NITI Aayog, Government of India)

Oct

Book Launch: Behind the Curve: Can Manufacturing Still Provide Inclusive Growth?

October 16, 2024, 1:00 PM to 2:00 PM EDT

Robert Z. Lawrence (PIIE), Jed Kolko (Former US Department of Commerce), Leila Aridi Afas (Toyota Motor North America) and Cecilia Malmström (PIIE)

Oct

How would across-the-board tariffs create chaos in 2025?

October 17, 2024, 10:30 AM to 11:30 AM EDT

Wendy Edelberg (The Hamilton Project, Brookings Institution), Jason Furman (PIIE; Harvard University), Maurice Obstfeld (PIIE) and Ana Swanson (New York Times)

Oct