RealTime Economic Issues Watch
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RealTime Economic Issues Watch

In RealTime posts, PIIE senior staff and colleagues discuss the fast-moving economic news, financial developments, and public policy choices confronting the United States and the world.

Archive: April 2011

Bernanke Did Not Bomb

by Edwin M. Truman | April 29th, 2011 | 01:39 pm

On Wednesday afternoon, April 27, 2011, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke gave the first scheduled press conference by a Federal Reserve chairman immediately following a meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).  Chairman Bernanke was sure footed and appeared not to be surprised by any of the questions. He answered most of the questions [...]

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What Will the Post-Mubarak Egyptian Economy Look Like? 

by Mohsin S. Khan | April 27th, 2011 | 04:57 pm

The uprising that led to the fall of President Hosni Mubarak has created considerable uncertainty over the future of economic policies and reforms in Egypt. Will the political transition lead to a reform-minded government or a populist one that will try to undo the recent economic reforms undertaken by the Mubarak regime? There are certainly [...]

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Japan: An Opportunity Slipping Away?

by Marcus Noland | April 26th, 2011 | 12:55 pm

Last month, in a Washington Post outlook piece, I argued that if handled adroitly, the triple crisis facing Japan could be used to modernize the country’s politics. The government’s response to the disaster has been anything but adroit, and the opportunity to use the crisis to propel the nation forward is slipping away. In the [...]

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The G-20 Indicative Guidelines: A New Improved Chapter of International Economic Policy Coordination?

by Edwin M. Truman | April 20th, 2011 | 05:46 pm

On September 25, the G-20 leaders, meeting in Pittsburgh, launched their "framework that lays out the policies and the way we act together to generate strong, sustainable and balanced global growth." The success of this effort will define the success (or failure) of the G-20 in the post-crisis period. Will the framework be regarded as [...]

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What the Latest Euro Area Debt Market Instability Tells Us

by Jacob Funk Kirkegaard | April 20th, 2011 | 12:48 pm

While much commentary in recent days have been focused on Standard & Poor’s  (S&P) “shot across the US Congressional bow” with its negative outlook on US federal debt, it was actually euro area policymakers who received the most serious recent “market reminder” about the still perilous state of their plan to stabilize euro area peripheral [...]

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Taking Stock of Volatile Capital Flows: Progress Despite the Noise

by Edwin M. Truman | April 20th, 2011 | 10:40 am

Over the past year, the international financial community has revisited the complex issues raised by international capital flows and policies affecting them.  Collective attention is appropriate because the flows, and actual or possible tightening of controls on them, create externalities for many countries.  While not all of the attention to this topic over the past [...]

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President Moves Preemptively on KORUS

by Marcus Noland | April 19th, 2011 | 01:56 pm

As we discussed last week, there were rumblings from the House International Affairs Committee about the treatment of the Kaesong Industrial Complex in the context of the Korea-US Free Trade Agreement (KORUS) legislation, with Rep. Brad Sherman (D-Ca) likening it to a "slave labor camp" and Committee chairwoman Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Fl) and eight co-sponsors introducing [...]

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Some Progress in the Banking Reform Debate

by Nicolas Véron | April 18th, 2011 | 02:09 pm

The Independent Commission on Banking, set up last year by the newly elected UK government and chaired by Oxford economist John Vickers, published its much-awaited interim report on reform options for British banking on April 11. The policy proposals, to be confirmed in a final report in September, are a significant milestone not only for [...]

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Japan Hunkers Down

by Marcus Noland | April 18th, 2011 | 09:28 am

As disaster relief operations proceed in Japan, ongoing problems in power generation are expected to extend into the fall, if not beyond. Japan is facing as much as a 15 gigawatt (GW) electricity shortage when demand ramps up in the summer. Supply may be increased by 5GW primarily by bringing power generating plants currently under [...]

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The Crisis Has Been Wasted

by Anders Aslund | April 12th, 2011 | 10:54 am

Despite the budget deal to keep the government running for the rest of the fiscal year, the United States remains at a profound impasse over its long-term public finances, with fiscal deficits lingering around 10 percent of the gross domestic product. Early in the financial crisis, presidential chief of staff Rahm Emanuel made the much-quoted [...]

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