In RealTime posts, PIIE senior staff and colleagues discuss the fast-moving economic news, financial developments, and public policy choices confronting the United States and the world.
Archive: October 2010
The G-20 Finance Ministers Fall Short
by Morris Goldstein | October 28th, 2010 | 04:44 pm
The G-20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors, who met in Seoul over the weekend of October 23–24, made only minor progress on currency and balanced growth issues—certainly not enough progress to decrease materially the threat of continued currency wars. Yes, they said all the right things about moving toward “more market determined exchange rate [...]
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Tags: G-20, global imbalances
The US Fed Should Not Print Money and Debase the Dollar
by Anders Aslund | October 25th, 2010 | 09:27 am
The US Federal Reserve is preparing what could turn out to be one of its greatest follies since its defense of the gold standard during the Great Depression. Ben Bernanke, the Fed chairman, has signaled that next month the central bank could begin the process of printing hundreds of billions of dollars to buy US [...]
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Tags: central banks, monetary policy, the dollar, United States, US Federal Reserve Bank, US monetary policy
China Needs Interest Rate and Exchange Rate Hikes
by Daniel H. Rosen | October 22nd, 2010 | 05:18 pm
Why has China moved to raise interest rates? And is there any connection between its monetary policy actions, which surprised global markets, and whether China is willing to let its currency appreciate? Was this an either/or choice? The answers to these questions are not simple, but first one needs to look at the record of [...]
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Tags: Asia, central banks, China, exchange rates, monetary policy
France and Germany Ditch Brussels for the Markets
by Jacob Funk Kirkegaard | October 20th, 2010 | 04:57 pm
If the European financial, economic, and budget crises of the last two years have proven anything, it is that the famous Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) established in 1997 turned out to be nearly useless as an instrument of discipline. This week the European Union’s finance minister, basically agreed to keep it that way. Meeting [...]
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Tags: bailouts, debt, euro area, Europe, France, Germany
The European Union Has Not Yet Solved Its Banking Problem
by Nicolas Véron | October 18th, 2010 | 12:19 pm
The chaos that followed Lehman Brothers’ collapse two years ago hit financial systems in the United States and Europe with similar violence. But the consequences were not symmetrical. Several large financial institutions disappeared in the United States, partly because of stringent disclosure requirements, leading to immediate restructuring of the financial landscape. In the spring of [...]
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Tags: banks, euro area, Europe, European Central Bank, financial regulation, Greece
Why Labor Mayhem in France Could Benefit Sarkozy
by Jacob Funk Kirkegaard | October 15th, 2010 | 10:42 am
French labor unions are preparing to block President Nicolas Sarkozy’s proposal to raise the French retirement age by two years.1 They plan open-ended strikes to shut down France’s transport and energy infrastructure, hoping to repeat their success in 1995 when street protests forced President Jacques Chirac and Prime Minister Alain Juppe to abandon their proposals [...]
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Tags: euro area, Europe, France, labor, pensions
Expect More Pain for Creditors in a Greek Debt “Extension”
by Jacob Funk Kirkegaard | October 12th, 2010 | 04:23 pm
As the International Monetary Fund and World Bank played host to the world’s finance ministers and central bankers in October, Dominique Strauss-Kahn was the model of the “activist IMF managing director” when he dared to address a question other Europeans prefer to ignore. What is to be done about Greece’s debt problems in the long [...]
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Tags: bailouts, debt, euro area, Europe, European Central Bank, Germany, Greece, IMF, World Bank
The IMF as an International Lender of Last Resort
by Edwin M. Truman | October 12th, 2010 | 10:44 am
The G-20 leaders’ meeting in Seoul should endorse a series of steps to move the International Monetary Fund (IMF) closer to becoming an international lender of last resort. The classic lender of last resort has the capacity (1) to lend unlimited amounts of funds to solvent institutions (2) on appropriate terms. Thus, to transform the [...]
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Tags: G-20, IMF
Central Banks Should Also Be Wary of What They Buy
by Jacob Funk Kirkegaard | October 8th, 2010 | 10:09 am
As the recovery stalls in advanced countries, central banks are leaning more and more toward quantitative easing, a form of monetary stimulus that could provide a tool to help the economy as public opinion turns against more government spending. Japan implemented its plan in early October, and in the United Kingdom Adam Posen, senior fellow [...]
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Tags: banks, stimulus
The Dangers of Insufficient Stimulus
by Adam S. Posen | October 6th, 2010 | 11:57 am
The following was posted this week by David Leonhardt on the website of The New York Times. Mr. Leonhardt, a New York Times columnist, asked Mr. Posen to elaborate on his speech “The Case for Doing More,” delivered to the Hull and Humber Chamber of Commerce, Industry, and Shipping on Sept. 28, saying it was [...]
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Tags: stimulus