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The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) released a report (Chinese language) this week that focused on prospects for capital account liberalization. Opening up the capital account would be a major reform, perhaps the most significant in a more than a decade. It would give Chinese savers an escape hatch from financial repression and force the [...]
This piece was originally posted on East Asia Forum The imminent rebalancing of China’s economy has been forecast repeatedly over the past several years. With the shrinking of China’s external surplus during 2011, proponents of this argument have all but declared victory. The decrease of the current account surplus, from 10.1 per cent in 2007 to [...]
There is a recurring notion that pops up every now and then that the Chinese government has a giant rainy day fund. When growth slows but banks are constrained in expanding lending, analysts start to call on China to tap into these reserves to finance fiscal stimulus. Macquarie: “Running down PBC [People’s Bank of China] [...]
China’s affordable housing program is considered by many to be a ray of hope in what is otherwise a bleak property market. CLSA’s China Macro Strategist Andy Rothman was memorably quoted as being completely convinced that the Chinese government was “going to spend a hell of a lot of money on affordable housing.” The affordable [...]