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audio Peterson Perspectives Interview Ukraine Stalemate: Is the Geneva Accord a Dead Letter?
Anders Aslund — April 18, 2014
Anders Åslund says the deal reached by US Secretary of State John Kerry is unenforceable and that Vice President Biden should be prepared to announce new sanctions against Russia in Kiev next week.

North Korea: Witness to Transformation Action Items from North Korea Freedom Coalition
Kevin Stahler — April 18, 2014
The North Korea Freedom Coalition has sent out immediate action items calling for assistance in their effort to promote freedom and human rights in North Korea. We append the letter in full below: Dear Friends: Please find below a number of act ...

China Economic Watch China’ Reserves: Parsing the Recent Data and Rhetoric
Kent Troutman — April 17, 2014
As China’s policy regarding continued intervention in its currency market increasingly appears to be reaching an inflection point, we have been closely following the data over the past months in order to ascertain whether there has been a change in this policy. The initial conclusions from the first ...

RealTime Economic Issues Watch Putin Needs Victory
Anders Aslund — April 14, 2014
"All we need is victory regardless of the cost." So runs the refrain in a popular old Soviet film, "The Belarusian Railway Station," about World War II veterans. This line probably explains President Vladimir Putin's policy on Ukraine. The latest developments, including the seizure by Russian ...

Working Paper 14-1 Regime Change, Democracy, and Growth [pdf]
Caroline Freund and Mélise Jaud — April 11, 2014
Economic improvements generally accrue to countries that go through regime change, but not always when the change leads to democratization, according to a new study on the relationship between democracy and growth.

audio Peterson Perspectives Interview Storming the Opera House in Ukraine
Anders Aslund — April 11, 2014
Anders Åslund says Russia's ham-fisted tactics to destabilize Ukraine have backfired, and Moscow may now turn to tougher steps, including an invasion, to halt the country's progress.

RealTime Economic Issues Watch Time for the United States to Risk Its IMF Veto
Edwin M. Truman — April 11, 2014
Support in the United States for the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is at a new low. The reasons are many and varied, and the IMF is unpopular in many countries, not just among the women and men on the streets, most of whom have never heard of the IMF unless their countries are in crisis, b ...

Op-ed The IMF Should Move Ahead without the United States
C. Fred Bergsten and Edwin M. Truman — April 10, 2014
The International Monetary Fund (IMF), which has its annual spring meetings in Washington this week, is confronting a potentially existential crisis: withdrawal by the United States from active participation in, and leadership of, the world's most important economic institution.

audio Peterson Perspectives Interview The IMF's Existential Crisis
Edwin M. Truman — April 9, 2014
Edwin M. Truman, elaborating on his proposal jointly offered with C. Fred Bergsten, says the International Monetary Fund should walk away from the United States if Congress fails to support its governance and finance reforms.

News Release Peterson Institute Economists Forecast Modest Growth in Major Economies; Identify Ongoing Risks to Financial Stability Limiting Stimulus and Recovery
April 9, 2014
WASHINGTON—Economists at the Peterson Institute for International Economics are forecasting a generally favorable outlook for the economic prospects of the United States, Western Europe, Japan, China and some but not all other emerging ma ...

RealTime Economic Issues Watch Are Countries Better Off with Their Own Monetary Regimes?
Edwin M. Truman — April 7, 2014
The continuing economic and financial challenges facing members of the euro area, combined with more recent pressures on some emerging market and developing countries, raise a familiar question. What is the best monetary regime for countries facing such stresses? The answer is that no monetary re ...

China Economic Watch Flying Blind: Monitoring Shadow Banking in Emerging Markets
Nicholas Borst — April 4, 2014
In the wake of the global financial crisis, financial regulators worldwide have struggled to adequately address the risks inherent in shadow banking. In the advanced economies, post-crisis regulatory efforts have tamed some of the previous excesses and slowed the growth of shadow banking. Despite th ...

RealTime Economic Issues Watch What Were They Thinking? The Fed on the Brink of Zero
Joseph E. Gagnon — April 4, 2014
How farsighted was the leadership at the Federal Reserve as the world economy was heading toward a steep decline more than five years ago? Outside the Fed's marble halls, the answers to that question are only now becoming known, and the verdict is perhaps surprisingly positive. In Dec ...

audio Peterson Perspectives Interview China's Moderate Growth Slowdown
Nicholas R. Lardy — April 3, 2014
Nicholas R. Lardy says China is taking sensible steps to counter the moderate slowdown in growth, rejecting the route of expanding credit aggressively as it did in 2009.

News Release Three Global Leaders Join Peterson Institute for International Economics Board of Directors
April 2, 2014
WASHINGTON—The Peterson Institute is pleased to announce the addition of three new members to its Board of Directors: Charles D. Lake II, president of Aflac International Incorporated and chairman of Aflac Japan, Phillipa (Pip) McCrostie, ...

RECENT EVENTS

 

DeLisle Worrell

Macroeconomic Options for Very Small Open Economies

DeLisle Worrell, governor of the Central Bank of Barbados, speaks at the Peterson Institute for International Economics.

Márcio Cozendey

Brazil in the Global Economy: Where Does This Ship Go?

Brazilian Deputy Minister of Finance Carlos Márcio Cozendey discusses Brazil and its role in the global economy.

Lucio Vinhas de Souza

Stresses and Growth Prospects in Emerging Markets

PIIE and Moody's Investor Service (MIS) held their semiannual joint Sovereign Economic Panel to discuss short-term stresses versus medium-term prospects for key emerging markets.

David Stockton

Global Economic Prospects: Spring 2014

David Stockton, Nicholas Lardy, Ángel Ubide, and Nicolas Véron forecast a generally favorable outlook for the economies of the United States, Western Europe, Japan, and China but also warn there are some risks not widely recognized.

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